A GRIM DESCENT


van Graan: turnaround?

By theredseat
October 20 2026

  LLWLWLWWLL. Ten games from the Bordeaux semi-final in May. Four victories in that time. Seven defeats. It’s not the form of contenders for trophies - it’s not even the form of playoff hopefuls. In recent years a trip up the M5 has provided some measure of relief from tougher challenges on the fixture calendar but Gloucester this season are a team on the up and will head into Friday night as favourites. How much can Bath put right in under a week?

The answer in reality is probably not as much as fans would hope for. Mike Prendergast is still new to the attack coach role and embedding his ideas and patterns is going to be a gradual process not a sudden one. The line out hasn’t been fully trustworthy for a while so the chances of something revelatory happening there in the space of a few days seems slim. Less tangibly, if confidence or morale is low only results and performance will truly resolve that however positive a week the squad have on the paddocks at Farleigh. 

On the other hand, getting back to Johann van Graan’s second favourite mantra of being ‘tough to beat’ must be a non-negotiable. Too often over the last ten games Bath have ultimately lost the game with a lack of performance in the last 20-30 minutes which is tough to reconcile with a team who spent a good couple of years deploying its own Bomb Squad to such great effect. The loss of Thomas du Toit is part of that but can’t be the whole story. Where once our dominance at the end of games meant keeping it close for 50 odd minutes would be enough for a win against almost anyone, suddenly it feels like the reverse is true and teams are realising that Bath don’t have a full 80 minutes in them anymore. Even if the result this week goes with the formbook, van Graan and company must still show that we can be tougher to beat than we have been all too often in recent months. Making life hard for our hosts at the breakdown would be a good start. 

Speaking of the man in charge, van Graan probably finds himself under more pressure right now than at any other time since joining the club. Credit in the bank means his job isn’t at stake (and nor should it be) but the boss does need to answer a question that hasn’t been asked of him so far in his four years at Bath: can he turn around a team on the slide? He has proven he can rebuild what he labelled ‘a broken club’. He has proven he can maintain strong performances week on week and deliver trophies. This feels like a different type of challenge and one that may need a different type of solution. 

Which brings us to selection. We’ve heard often that players know when they will be required and teamsheets for blocks of fixtures are mostly planned out in advance with everyone having clarity on their role. That concept is easy to get on board with in good times when it feels like no matter which combination is sent into action you can be confident of a positive result with the added bonus of keeping players fresh for the business end of the season. What looks like rotating a strong squad for a winning team can easily look like chopping and changing for a losing one. Rewarding good performances and, perhaps more importantly, signalling that next week’s selection is not promised where players are not delivering feels like a more useful approach for the current situation. Several big members of the squad are also off contract in the summer and presumably are playing for their next deal, whether that comes at Bath or elsewhere which should serve as motivation if any were needed. 

To come around to something of a positive, Arthur Green has been outstanding this season and with injuries to Miles Reid and Dan du Preez it would be a shock not to see him continue at 8 on Friday. He’s looking like not just Bath’s future in that shirt but potentially England’s as well and someone the club should be looking to empower and build around. Ewan Richards, Will Jeanes, Charlie Griffin and Josh Bayliss can also be given minimal blame for poor results and maybe their comparative youth and athleticism is part of the reason for that as the Prem becomes increasingly end to end and less a showcase for big lads running into each other. 

Gloucester probably haven’t quite proven that they’re title contenders yet but there’s every reason to think they will be in the playoff mix based on evidence presented so far. They are also an example of how quickly things can change in this league. Whatever it is that Chris Boyd does with teams appears to work and they’ve added both class and steel to the spine of the team by bringing in Dewi Lake, Jean Kleyn and Jac Morgan over the summer. Perhaps more impressively they have got players like Charlie Atkinson, Will Trenholm and Will Joseph performing at a level that many suspected they were capable of but perhaps took a couple of years longer to reach than anticipated. They proved against the European champions that they can offer a tough test for anyone at the moment and there is no doubt Bath will have to raise their game to come away from Kingsholm with anything to show for their endeavours. 

In JvG we still trust. Time to show some signs of life.

 

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A GRIM DESCENT
Discussion started by Comeonmylovers.co.uk (IP Logged), 20/10/2026 13:56
Comeonmylovers.co.uk
Comeonmylovers.co.uk
20/10/2026 13:56
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P G Tips
P G Tips
20/10/2026 13:58
Good preview trs-thanks very much.

This will be a test of character and grit as much as anything else. The weather is likely to be poor-and a leveller, so a slogfest could be on the cards. Tackling, handling, discipline and accuracy will be at a prmium.

PG

MESSAGES->author
jayeatman
20/10/2026 14:03
4 victories.
We did win the Exeter game.
10 games
LLWLWLWWLL

BATH supporter since 1975

Adopted players:
2015/6 Tom Homer
2016/7 Matt Banahan
2017/8 Jeff Williams
2018/9 Victor Delmas
2019/20 Semesa Rokoduguni
2020/21 Will Stuart

theredseat
theredseat
20/10/2026 14:06
Quote:
jayeatman
4 victories.
We did win the Exeter game.
10 games
LLWLWLWWLL

Ah good spot. Semi final trauma rearing up when I went through the scores perhaps

MESSAGES->author
jayeatman
20/10/2026 14:26
Can't argue with the rest of your article though.
I think those 10 games reveal an issue with our second string half backs.
We're not the same team without Ben and Finn.
You'd have thought with BvdL emerging, Donoghue back from injury, and Santi settled in, we'd be in a better place this season.
Too many of the senior players are underperforming, Obano, Dunn, Stuart, Ewels, Hill, Lawrence, JoeC, Santi, perhaps it's just a slow start but it feels like Lawrence keeps on being selected in the hope he'll play himself back into form. That wouldn't have happened had Hennessy been fit.
Last season our problem was a slow start. Perhaps turning that around explains us tiring more in the second half, plus without TdT & FvW, an effective bomb squad is history. Maybe when Sela & Bhatti are back...
Hoping for, but not expecting, a turnaround on Friday night.
I'll be there, Swissair and the M4/A417 allowing!

BATH supporter since 1975

Adopted players:
2015/6 Tom Homer
2016/7 Matt Banahan
2017/8 Jeff Williams
2018/9 Victor Delmas
2019/20 Semesa Rokoduguni
2020/21 Will Stuart

P G Tips
P G Tips
20/10/2026 15:27
Some better news on the injury front:

[www.somersetlive.co.uk]

Miles Reid- much missed in the second half v Saints - available for this weekend.

Muir, Arundell, de Glanville all training and near return.

PG

dr.bath1865
dr.bath1865
20/10/2026 15:57
Over to you JvG for the selection on this one! Super tricky to get the balance here, of rewarding youth and form (those few who have it!), needing experience in front of the Shed, giving older heads the chance to put some wrongs right etc. Would be terrific if one of Muir, Arundell or TdG were to make it but not sure if they will.

My team for the biggest game since... last week!
Obano Frost Stuart Roux Ewels Bayliss Reid Green
Spencer Russell Muir/Arundell/TDG/Griffin Mojo Redpath Hennessy Santi
Kepu Kirk Griffin Hill Pepper BVDL Lawrence Coetzee

MESSAGES->author
OutsideBath
20/10/2026 16:26
JvG obviously has full trust and respect from all of us because of the brilliant job he’s done. However he’s being let down by his coaches at present, leaky defence, non existent attack and inconsistent lineout.

Not enough time from last week’s debacle to fix anything so a LBP will probably be the best outcome we can expect.

Our cause isn’t going to be helped by the terrible Ridley in charge of proceedings, haven’t forgiven him for his handling of our semi last season.

Barfboy
Barfboy
20/10/2026 16:55
Nice write up. Captures the mood pretty well! With your words and last 2 weeks in mind I'd go:

Beno, Kepu, Stuart, Roux, Ewels, Reid, Pepper, Green, Spencer, Finn, Griffin, Mojo, Redpath, Santi/Arundel, TdG/Santi

Kirk, Dunn, Griffin, Jeanes, Bayliss, BvdL, Donoghue/Santi, Coetzee

Am assuming Roux is fit. Jeanes hard done by but we really need to front up against a revitalised Glos pack in a hostile environment. Roux and Reid provide starting give us our best chance of doing so, IMO.

On the back 3 it's less certain. Hopefully TdG is fit as he's our most assured and defensively-sound FB. Would go Santi on the wing if Arundel not fit and give Big Joe the week off.

gaz59
gaz59
20/10/2026 17:40
We need to be much more physical up front and especially competitive at the breakdown. Glos were excellent in that area v UBB

For the first time in a very long time I will be watching with very little expectation of a win

dr.bath1865
dr.bath1865
20/10/2026 18:12
Yes agree- it's the same in every single game, but we've been second best up front and on the floor for a couple of weeks now. The thought of Jac Morgan on the floor claiming yet another t/o is utterly terrifying. Need Frost, Roux, Ewels, Reid, Redpath to go to work and get involved at every breakdown, even if it means we then have to slow it down and kick the ball in the air.

With that in mind, I suspect we might got 12 Redpath 13 Lawrence to give us as much weight and physicality as possible.

PaulHerox
PaulHerox
20/10/2026 18:19
A great way to start the return to the Prem.
"Derby" day is always one of the better weekends of the calendar and whilst a trip to Bears country has been a banana-skin for Bath for a while it will be interesting to see how a for Glaws go at home as favourites.

Tigers Saints on Saturday followed by the "hide behind the sofa" London derby. Hopefully the weekends rugby can banish the thought of the European weekend.

brands
brands
20/10/2026 21:31
I fear I have picked the wrong season to visit Castle Grim again.
Hoping for a huge reaction to the second half performance against Montpellier.
Morgan this week and the Curry twins next will be licking their lips for the breakdown.

MESSAGES->author
joethefanatic
20/10/2026 21:55
Glaws pack did a number on UBB but I think that was mostly due to them picking big ben in the row. The Glaws front 5 is similar to ours - a great front row with mobile but relatively light locks. Their point of difference is Jac Morgann and I'd be tasking whoever our 7 is with just man to man marking him. If we can get parity at the breakdown, it might be enough. Its also a plastic pitch so I'd be very tempted to give Santi a run at 10, as a course specialist. Finn is not on form and forcing the game at Castle Grim is a recipe for a lot of pain for everyone in BBW.

We can win, but its going to be close if we do.

... IMHO, of course.

Now in Honolulu

Mini Maximus
Mini Maximus
20/10/2026 22:16
Quote:
joethefanatic
Glaws pack did a number on UBB but I think that was mostly due to them picking big ben in the row. The Glaws front 5 is similar to ours - a great front row with mobile but relatively light locks. Their point of difference is Jac Morgann and I'd be tasking whoever our 7 is with just man to man marking him. If we can get parity at the breakdown, it might be enough. Its also a plastic pitch so I'd be very tempted to give Santi a run at 10, as a course specialist. Finn is not on form and forcing the game at Castle Grim is a recipe for a lot of pain for everyone in BBW.
We can win, but its going to be close if we do.

Interesting point about Santi! Not sure I'd agree about Finn not being on form – he hardly had much decent ball to work with against Montpellier,

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